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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin: Another Rejection & Local Lower HighGood afternoon my dear friend, Looking at Bitcoin on the daily timeframe we now see a confirmation of MA200 as resistance. While in late September there was a fake breakout, this isn't the case this time around. Yesterday we can see Bitcoin making an attempt to move higher —BTCUSD tried to move above MA200 but failed. The session ended with a long upper wick and closing at the sessions low, a very strong negative candle. We have a short-term lower high and MA200 confirmed as resistance. These simple signals indicate that Bitcoin is ready to continue lower in the days, weeks and months to come. Thank you for reading. Remember to leave a comment with your thoughts, questions and opinions. Insults and personal attacks are also welcome and tolerated, we are all adults. Namaste.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AlanSantana
65
The Halving Pattern Explained! Michael Saylor Sold BitcoinThere was a very accurate pattern that revolved around Bitcoin's halving event where we would see massive growth after the halving. Cyclical patterns are valid and true until they are not. The halving pattern is now in question because the market is no longer the same. Some people are still following this pattern, this old map, but the pattern broke even before the halving event. Bitcoin produced a new All-Time High in 2024, before the halving, this has never been seen before. A new ATH right before the halving. Bitcoin's dynamics changed completely even before the halving, which is what we are seeing now. The institutions changed the market. The big players and Michael Saylor changed the market dynamics, and Mr. Saylor is about to make another one of his fun moves. In 2022 the orthodox end of the bear-market happened in June. This was the bottom for Ethereum and also for many of the major projects. This would have been the bottom for Bitcoin also but in November, where the market was set to produce a higher low compared to June, one giant whale made a move that produced a lower low, and thus the map was changed once more. This lower low is a technical double bottom, June 2022 vs November 2022, but this is still something that happened because of one single major force. This same force has been making moves and these moves have been affecting the markets predictable patterns and is making it quite unpredictable. The halving map can no longer be followed because it already broke down and thus no map can be followed based on historical data. This happens not only with Bitcoin but all financial assets, all trading pairs; everything in life continues to evolve. We might not be able to predict easily what might happen next but we still have the charts which shows us everything we need to know. We have two schools of thought right now in the technical analysis world. One says that Bitcoin will grow because it must grow because... Well, because it has to go up. This school of thought says Bitcoin must grow because it has been sideways for a long time, because in the past, it always grows. But the market has no time limit, the market is not going to die, so the market can grow next week, next year or next month. It doesn't need to happen now, nor yesterday nor today just so that someone's beliefs or ideas are met. We know how the market is doing by looking at the charts, and based on its behavior we can make educated predictions as to where prices are most likely headed next. The other school of thought uses data to make its predictions and ignores any assumptions based on how the market was behaving ten years ago. In the past we had no spot ETFs, no giants were playing, it was a completely different game. Miners selling would crash the market without a doubt and a new bear market would be present as soon as they decide to sell. Present day, miners selling is just an opportunity for a whale to buy Bitcoins in bulk, maybe even at a cheaper price compared to the market rate. We have two long-term moving averages plotted on the chart: MA200 and EMA144. These are about to be tested both. Michael Saylor's next move is not a bullish one, he is about to secure some profits. Thanks a lot for your support. Namaste.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by AlanSantana
37
Is a 70% crash to 20k for Bitcoin going to print ??This is a 3 week chart. Each candle print takes 3 weeks. This is not a forecast for tomorrow or the day after. This is months in the making. On this timeframe months pass until targets are realised. Regardless, there are some important signals now printing that require attention. When: 1) Stochastic RSI was above 80 AND then crosses down 50 (red arrows) AND 2) RSI 50 level confirms resistance once a breakout has printed (black circles) as it is now, you must watch for a confirmation of resistance. A and B had confirmed resistance in 2018 and 2019. 80% and 70% corrections followed. Point C in early 2021 was a false breakout only confirming in late 2021. A 75% correction followed. Look left. This chart is now either repeating years 2018 / 2019 or 2021. There are some important takeaways from all of this. 1) Whether it is a repeat of 2018 or 2019 or 2021, the bull run is over inside the next 6 months. There are far too many calls for higher highs into 2025 and beyond. That is not going to happen. 2) This is not a forecast for something that is going to happen right away. 3) The market top is not in yet. True. Market tops arrive with Euphoria not fear. 4) When this RSI resistance confirms, there will be no long opportunities in the market until 2027 at the earliest. Ww
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by without_worries
119
TSUNAMI PHASE 1 (BEACH TIME) Price over $80KPhase 1 (Beach time): While some of the retail traders are having a blast around the globe due to BITCOIN BEARISHNESS, it's time to hit the beach shore for a blast time. Phase: 2 (EARTHQUAKE): many will wonder! Phase: 3 (TSUNAMI WAVE): all will panic 1Mo timeframe shows PIVOT HIGH is next. Follow the pattern with cold hard facts. This isn't a failed rally because there is no indication here BITCOIN is headed to destruction, in fact, it's accompanied by a BULLISH HARAMI pattern. Once BITCOIN reaches PIVOT HIGH then comes the BOS. THE ROCKET IS READY. It's waiting for BITCOIN to break resistance to start the rocket steam for liftoff. My TRUE RANGE CANDLE INDICATOR is fully weighed by volume and so much more. It puts RSI out of business. My reversal strategy works in a way to figure out a reversal based on MA's and PIVOT ZONES. It's been coded correctly for guidance which will not speculate but uses price action with a designed strategy Please comment and like; thank you
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
41
BITCOIN fractal alert! Happening exactly like last October!We talked a while ago regarding the 'October effect' (August 28, see chart below) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). But today we need to make an urgent analysis as it appears that the market is repeating almost the exact sequence of a year ago (October 2023). The similarities are more obvious on the 1D time-frame where the price is currently ranged within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The most recent time it traded like this was exactly one year ago, back in the first two weeks of October 2023. As you can see, during that time BTC also made a marginal break above the 1D MA200 before quickly pulling back below it. After it tested and held the 1D MA50 (as it did no on October 01 2024), is started the long-term aggressive rally of the Channel Up that peaked on March 14 2024. As long as the 1W MA50 continues to hold as the long-term Support, there are high probabilities of seeing 100k, even before the end of 2024. But what do you think? Do you see realistic the scenario of repeating the post October 2023 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
15
BTC - Do You Remember This? Now What?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, 📍Following my last BTC Monthly log view analysis on November 11, 2022 , we anticipated the bulls taking control after rejecting the lower green trendline and horizontal support. Currently BTC is approaching its all-time high! What's Next? 📈 If the current all-time high (highlighted in red) is surpassed, we anticipate a 254% increase, mirroring the last bull cycle. This aligns with the upper boundary of the green channel and the 200k - 250k round numbers. ⚠️ However, the journey may encounter bumps, leading to sharp correction movements to shake out weak hands. This bearish scenario, would mean retesting the lower green trendline before surging! 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
20
TSUNAMI EARTHQUAKE is at 2.0 EARTHQUAKE near the BEACH SHORE is at 2.0. They are rated up to 8.0. 2.0 is a WARNING, not enough to cause a TSUNAMI TIDAL WAVE. ROCKET-SHIP is prepped. Please pay close attention to this warning signals. 1. PULL-BACKS are genuine. Some of you know about this and some do not. The ones that don’t, obviously can’t see the algorithm signal and has declared BITCOIN as failure and destined to CRASH. Ive mentioned days ago smart money made an entry yet still dipped. So it’s easy to say this PULL-BACK is bogus yet isn’t. 2. whale signals are called BULL signals. It’s in display in my chart. This was obviously whale movements because it is they who control the market. 3. High Wave signals both meet the same pattern. Does this mean the most recent HIGH WAVE is hinting to our next WAVE? 4. STAR of the SHOW is no longer stochastic RSI but l introduce my ForexX VI Candles. It’s important to NITPICK. It’s important to see both green circles, they represent something and the M red arrow is pointing to manipulation which will soon turn green. Why manipulation? Because it’s easy to see BITCOIN has been at PIVOT LOW on a 1MO and 2WK timeframes, WHALE entry, PULL-BACK, and high wave. Despite all this, I’ve confirmed with my smart money movements confirming our next moves. BITCOIN has been predestined to BULL RUN from centuries ago and smart money has also shown in my data in advance we’re having a TSUNAMI soon. One more thing; no need to be discouraged on minor dips. When there’s a minor dip, don’t turn to other ideas that point to a crash otherwise that would be more devastating to your mindset.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
22
Bitcoin Weekly: Upper Resistance ChallengedGood afternoon my dear friend, Bitcoin closed three consecutive weeks green in September and this pushed prices as high as the red descending trendline shown on the chart. Each time this resistance level is challenged, we see a continuation of the bearish trend, a down-move. Immediately after the third green week, the proceeding week Bitcoin closed red, that's last week. The red candle last week removed all the gains from the prior week and pushed prices a bit lower than the weekly open. This week, also red, we see an upper wick and the action happening at the session low. Based on candlestick reading, this is extremely bearish price action. ➖ We have the bearish signal of starting the month red. ➖ We now have a bearish signal as we start the week red. ➖ Challenging the descending trendline and seeing a rejection is also a strong signal that points toward lower prices next. Since March 2024, each time this trendline is challenged we see a major drop. The action we are seeing now and what we saw last week confirms this pattern. We continue to see MA200 trading around $39,965. This level works as a magnet pulling Bitcoin's price toward it. We are looking at the weekly timeframe. ➢ Everything continues to point down. I will keep you updated if there is any change. While MA200 is the main support, this is not likely the last and final low. It can take weeks before the low is in, or a little more than a month. The next drop is likely the last drop of this major correction before we switch to bullish mode. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Thanks a lot for the well wishes and very decent messages in the comments section, this community is filled with intelligent, lovely and wise souls. Namaste.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by AlanSantana
11
Bitcoin: Avoid Getting Caught In This.Bitcoin has retraced further than anticipated from my previous analysis (went to 60K instead of 64K support). There was never any price confirmation to go long on this time frame so you should have been able to avoid getting caught on the wrong side of such a move. While there appears to be a bullish correction of that move in progress now, it is important to prepare for the coming resistance where a lower high may unfold over the coming week (64K previous support/new resistance). The arrow on my chart points to the 64K resistance area. This location is notable for two important reasons: price can present a bearish reversal there on this time frame, and retest the level again as a profit objective in the near future. The illustration on my chart shows how I am anticipating the price action will play out in this regard. Keep in mind, this is NOT any kind of guarantee, it is what I believe has a greater possibility compared to a narrow range of scenarios over a short time horizon (click on previous articles to see how my illustrations play out). The whole point of sharing this analysis is to help you prepare for what the market can throw at you over the coming week. The key to using this information effectively is evaluating price action around these levels in search of CONFIRMATION (Trade Scanner Pro was made of this purpose). For example, over the previous week, Bitcoin broke the 64K anticipated support without ever confirming. There was never a reason to justify risk here, and every reason to step aside. Having a decision making model of this nature not only helps you to adjust to unexpected changes, but also avoid unnecessary losing positions. In terms of current momentum, there was an inside bar breakout at 62,300 (previous high) and a long signal in play. This type of opportunity is best managed by smaller time frame strategies (day/swing trades). This is far from an attractive investment level, especially since there is only about 1K points before first resistance (64K). I consider this location as one of elevated risk, especially compared to the possibility of retesting 60K support again to be followed by a bullish signal. The second bullish signal (off 60K) would be the lower risk/higher probability play. This is just a possible scenario that I will be prepared for IF Bitcoin presents and confirms it, this is NOT a forecast. Whether you are an investor or trader, you must have a way to objectively make decisions. A set of criteria to identify an opportunity, confirm entries, project exits and define risk. The time horizon that you choose will be an important factor that will shape how you process this information. As complex as all of this may sound, the goal is to accomplish this all while using as little information as possible. This is the LEAST you can do in a market environment where we as the retail trader/investor have NO advantage whatsoever. Otherwise you are simply stuffing your money into a glorified slot machine. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Editors' picks
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
13
THE BITCOIN "TSUNAMI WAVE" starts on 9/29/24 (Name your ALT)TSUNAMI SEASON will come with a massive wave, are you ready? Here we have BULL and BEAR time zones. You may not agree that when we all thought what looked like the BULL market was an actual BEAR MARKET but we are about to enter bar 1 on a BULL ATTACK. I started from ATH and measured connecting the current candlestick which sums up 28 weeks for a total of 196 days. 9/29/24 at 5 PM PT, BITCOIN starts week 1 out of a 28-week BULL RUN. So get ready, here is the unveiled secret "THE BITCOIN TSUNAMI WAVE". Every 196 days BITCOIN starts a BULL RUN and if there is no bull run from the beginning of the 196 days then somewhere within the 196 days, a BULL RUN starts and makes its way to the next 28-week cycle. See it for yourselves What's new here with our most current 196 days? We see a downtrend and now it will complete the 28-week cycle by 9/29. Be ready because the move-up has started and week 1 starts on 9/29 at 5 PM PT. BITCOIN's been bleeding downwards since ATH and because of this, it's how we know what comes next. The BITCOIN TSUNAMI WAVE will arrive when it wants but by surprise and one thing is for sure; We are moving up to our second wave which I mentioned weeks ago and like it reads here. View my economics trend. Out of many ALTS, I will analyze a few. Name your ALT:)
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
236
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!!Bitcoin failed to go beyond 63.800 so the price may fluctuate around $60.000 In addition, the bearish wedge shown in the chart can be a negative signal. Recently analysis (Daily) And (weekly) and ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
3
BITCOIN below the 60k again! Is this alarming??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today below the $60000 market again for the first time since September 18. The first headlines are already hitting the market calling for more downside. We highly doubt that as no only has the priced formed the first Higher High on September 27 in 6 months, but more importantly the uptrend since the August 05 bottom is supported by a Higher Lows trend-line. Also, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) may have been broken, but as long as the price holds the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has held twice already on August 05 and September 06, the chances of a break-out above the 7-month Lower Highs trend-line are high. In fact, the pattern since the August 05 bottom appears to be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The standard technical target on such occasions is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which gives us a $80000 price tag. As long as the 1W MA50 holds, this is the most likely scenario in our opinion. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
BTCUSDT: Why BITCOIN Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential MoveAs you can see, BTC has created Broadening wedge and is also located in the Megaphone , which means that if it breaks, we expect the price to reach the top of the Megaphone . ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
5
The Formula That Helped Me Get Into in the Top 2% of TradersI spent years testing different strategies, obsessing over charts, and trying to find the perfect entry point. It took me a while to realize that it wasn’t just about picking the right trades—it was about knowing how much to risk on each trade. This is where the Kelly Criterion came into play and changed my entire approach. You’ve probably heard the saying, “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.” Well, Kelly Criterion takes that idea and puts some hard math behind it to tell you exactly how much you should risk to maximize your long-term growth. It’s not a guessing game anymore—it’s math, and math doesn’t lie. What is Kelly Criterion? The Kelly Criterion is a formula that helps you figure out the optimal size of your trades based on your past win rate and the average size of your wins compared to your losses. It’s designed to find the perfect balance between being aggressive enough to grow your account but cautious enough to protect it from major drawdowns. F = W - (1 - W) / R F is the fraction of your account you should risk. W is your win rate (how often you win). R is your risk/reward ratio (the average win relative to the average loss). Let’s break it down. How It Works Let’s say you have a strategy that wins 60% of the time (W = 0.6), and your average win is 2x the size of your average loss (R = 2). Plugging those numbers into the formula, you’d get: F = 0.6 - (1 - 0.6) / 2 F = 0.6 - 0.4 / 2 F = 0.6 - 0.2 = 0.4 So, according to Kelly, you should risk 40% of your account on each trade. Now, 40% might seem like a lot, but this is just the theoretical maximum for optimal growth. The thing about using the full Kelly Criterion is that it’s aggressive. A 40% recommended risk allocation, for example, can be intense and lead to significant drawdowns, which is why many traders use half-Kelly, quarter-Kelly or other adjustments to manage risk. It’s a way to tone down the aggressiveness while still using the principle behind the formula. Personally, I don’t just take Kelly at face value—I factor in both the sample size (which affects the confidence level) and my max allowed drawdown when deciding how much risk to take per trade. If the law of large numbers tells us we need a good sample size to align results with expectations, then I want to make sure my risk management accounts for that. Let’s say, for instance, my confidence level is 95% (which is 0.95 in probability terms), and I don’t want to allow my account to draw down more than 10%. We can modify the Kelly Criterion like this: 𝑓 = ( ( 𝑊 − 𝐿 ) / 𝐵 )× confidence level × max allowed drawdown Where: 𝑊 = W is your win probability, 𝐿 = L is your loss probability, and 𝐵 = B is your risk-reward ratio. Let’s run this with actual numbers: Suppose your win probability is 60% (0.6), loss probability is 40% (0.4), and your risk-reward ratio is still 2:1. Using the same approach where the confidence level is 95% and the max allowed drawdown is 10%, the calculation would look like this: This gives us a risk percentage of 0.95% for each trade. So, according to this adjusted Kelly Criterion, based on a 60% win rate and your parameters, you should be risking just under 1% per trade. This shows how adding the confidence level and max drawdown into the mix helps control your risk in a more conservative and tailored way, making the formula much more usable for practical trading instead of over-leveraging. Why It’s Powerful Kelly Criterion gives you a clear, mathematically backed way to avoid overbetting on any single trade, which is a common mistake traders make—especially when they’re chasing losses or getting overconfident after a win streak. When I started applying this formula, I realized I had been risking too much on bad setups and too little on the good ones. I wasn’t optimizing my growth. Once I dialed in my risk based on the Kelly Criterion, I started seeing consistent growth that got me in the top 2% of traders on TradingView leap competition. Kelly in Action The first time I truly saw Kelly in action was during a winning streak. Before I understood this formula, I’d probably have gotten greedy and over-leveraged, risking blowing up my account. But with Kelly, I knew exactly how much to risk each time, so I could confidently scale up while still protecting my downside. Likewise, during losing streaks, Kelly kept me grounded. Instead of trying to "make it back" quickly by betting more, the formula told me to stay consistent and let the odds play out over time. This discipline was key in staying profitable and avoiding big emotional trades. Practical Use for Traders You don’t have to be a math genius to use the Kelly Criterion. It’s about taking control of your risk in a structured way, rather than letting emotions guide your decisions. Whether you’re new to trading or have been in the game for years, this formula can be a game-changer if applied correctly. Final Thoughts At the end of the day, trading isn’t just about making the right calls—it’s about managing your risks wisely. The Kelly Criterion gives you a clear path to do just that. By understanding how much to risk based on your win rate and risk/reward ratio, you’re not just gambling—you’re playing a game with a serious edge. So, whether you’re in a winning streak or facing some tough losses, keep your cool. Let the Kelly formula take care of your risk calculation. If you haven’t started using the Kelly Criterion yet, now’s the time to dive in. Calculate your win rate, figure out your risk/reward ratio, and start applying it. You’ll protect your account while setting yourself up for long-term profitability. Trust me, this is the kind of math that can change the game for you. Bonus: Custom Kelly Criterion Function in Pine Script If you’re ready to take your trading to the next level, here’s a little bonus for you! I’ve put together a custom Pine Script function that calculates the optimal risk percentage based on the Kelly Criterion. You can easily enter the variables to fit your trading strategy. // @description Calculates the optimal risk percentage using the Kelly Criterion. // @function kellyCriterion: Computes the risk per trade based on win rate, loss rate, average win/loss, confidence level, and maximum drawdown. // @param winRate (float) The probability of winning trades (0-1). // @param lossRate (float) The probability of losing trades (0-1). // @param avgWin (float) The average win size in risk units. // @param avgLoss (float) The average loss size in risk units. // @param confidenceLevel (float) Desired confidence level (0-1). // @param maxDrawdown (float) Maximum allowed drawdown (0-1). // @returns (float) The calculated risk percentage for each trade. kellyCriterion(winRate, lossRate, avgWin, avgLoss, confidenceLevel, maxDrawdown) => // Calculate Kelly Fraction: Theoretical fraction of the bankroll to risk kellyFraction = (winRate - lossRate) / (avgWin / avgLoss) // Adjust the risk based on confidence level and maximum drawdown adjustedRisk = (kellyFraction * confidenceLevel * maxDrawdown) // Return the adjusted risk percentage adjustedRisk Use this function to implement the Kelly Criterion directly into your trading setup. Adjust the inputs to see how your risk percentage changes based on your trading performance!
Editors' picks
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Fractalyst
8
Critical Moment for $BTC: Last Chance for Entry or Path to Doom?Massive Level for CRYPTOCAP:BTC As things stand, we’re at a crucial point for a higher low and a complete validation of the weekly bearish BMS. We need some demand to step up in the 56-60k region to propel us to "Valhalla" and set the stage for a strong end to the year. Be aware that if we drop below 58k, it could pose significant risks for a bullish outlook. This is the moment to act and take a stand at these prices! Keep your bids around the mid-59k range in case it dips that low. The trade is active and rolling!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ZelfTrade
10
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 59,378.90 1st Support: 57,833.43 1st Resistance: 61,888.24 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
3
Bitcoin: Sell Signal Watch For 58K.Bitcoin continues to respect the support/resistance levels within the broader consolidation. These price areas have been relevant for months and will continue to be relevant UNTIL the market proves otherwise. To navigate this environment effectively requires the ability to anticipate price behavior at these key levels, confirm a reversal AND quantify the risk associated with the time frame you intend to operate within. With this in mind, 64K is a CLEAR resistance and it is within reason to anticipate bearish activity across higher and lower time frames. As of now the low of an inside bar has been broken (see arrow). This CONFIRMS a sell signal off the 64K key resistance which means this is NOT the time to be long (swing trades) and aggressive shorts are reasonable for smaller time frame (day trade) strategies. The illustration on the chart refers to the scenario that I believe has a greater probability to unfold compared to a narrow range of scenarios over the coming week (see previous articles for outcomes of previous illustrations). While this can change at any time, the point here is to recognize the next probability location (58K AREA) for a swing trade long. IF Bitcoin presents such a test, the pattern to watch for is a bullish pin bar or inside bar between 56 and 58K. Such an outcome can be characterized as a failed low formation which is very typical within price consolidations. If you are interested in the short side potential, following the illustration is most effective on smaller time frames and using a tool like my Trade Scanner Pro in trend mode. This setting is specifically for momentum continuation patterns which are likely to unfold in price regions that are not in close proximity to key levels (like 62L to 60K for example.) The idea is to follow the momentum on the smaller time frame while also accounting for the smaller magnitude profit objective and risk. Playing the price action game totally relies on a strong grasp of HOW price moves, NOT WHY. One of the biggest obstacles for retail traders is the relentless amount of misinformation that is then mixed with personal emotional baggage. Yet, even though I repeat this often, it is no match for the power the drives human nature. People would rather react to and put their trust into an exciting story rather than a bunch of seemingly abstract lines on a chart. What the typical trader fails to realize is that a chart is a historical record of human behavior expressed in the form of buy/sell orders. The problem we are trying to solve (where is price going next?) is a BEHAVIORAL one, and nothing more (even in the age of algos). One of the universal truths that make technical analysis worthwhile is that "history repeats itself". Why else do you think support/resistance levels have any future opportunity value? Thanks you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
3
Bitcoin - It Will Reach $100.000!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will break out soon: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Everything, and I literally mean everything, is bullish on Bitcoin. The previous cycles, timeframes, market structure and price action are all pointing towards the continuation of the bull run which started in 2023. And a breakout above the all time high, is the next trigger. Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
12
The TRUTH is Pending through BULLISH CYCLESThe truth is pending but my REVERSAL STRADEGY unveils secret truths. Smart Money is playing it out into a rising wedge behind the background. Will it play out this way? maybe it is. They know how we think, if this happens to change then I will update later. Meanwhile, when it is time for the crash fall, TA data will be accumulating on my end. This data will start printing out in tiny portions the CRASH IS NEAR. We must understand, that when the crash is near, BITCOIN reads to be in its most bullish conditions which we've never seen before. The world will not stop talking about how bullish Indices, Stocks, and Crypto has been and will be. I have no doubt many of any sort will be providing feedback to those who listen. These information providers will be on the WHALE's PAYROLL to deceive many to say more than what they shouldn't say and many will follow their advice and just then, the BULLISH FULL MOON will turn into darkness and those who provided feedback, displaying themselves as professional analyst traders, many will not to be found. Pivot high and pivot low is my strategy, I've retraced. The Ma's work with my pivots. The yellow trend that's dotted is a possible scenario of price movement. This bullish dragonfly doji has not closed but it's reading out BULLISH MOMENTUM for our coming months. Beware; after 5 pm Pacific time, a minor downtrend then will reverse, and this may last for some time.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
21
BITCOIN → Bullish Pressure !!! As I mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin experienced a good rise after breaking out of the wedge and is now near the top of the megaphone. Currently, it is in an ascending triangle, but we can't be sure about it yet. Additionally, on the MACD, we have a hidden bullish divergence, which alone is a bullish signal. previous analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
BITCOIN Channel Up starting the new Bullish Leg!Four months ago (June 07, see chart below) we published a post on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) calling it an 'Unpopular opinion' as despite a on ongoing rebound in May, we signaled a correction as, based on the long-term Channel Up since November 2022, it was technically possible to see a pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then extended consolidation until a potential bottom on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line): Even though the Channel Up had to be readjusted, the price action delivered the exact pattern of the previous 6-month (April 11 - October 16 2023) consolidation and almost tested the 1D MA100, forming a bottom on August 04 2024. The similarities between those two fractals are more evident on their 1D RSI sequences. This shows that right now we could be before a break-out similar on the October 16 2023 candle. Regardless of that, it appears that the new Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up is accelerating and a new High above 66500 would confirm it. We have had 3 major Bullish Legs so far, more or less around the same levels (+92.27% to +101.57%). So a bad case scenario would be to see a +92.27% rally from the August 04 Low, which would still give us a $94500 Target. So what do you think? Is the Channel Up just heating up and can the new Bullish Leg reach 94.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4