Intraday Update: The FX:USDJPY is probing new highs and a break higher will put the 127% extension of the consolidation in play at 149.97.
Intraday Update: As discussed on the Morning Edge Show last week, the USDMXN may be developing a triangle or broader consolidation near term ahead of the US elections. The 19.20's may offer support intraday.
Intraday Update: The turn lower of the NZDUSD at the .6110 level (high today thus far is .6106) and while below this level the risk remains lower.
Intraday Update: As expected in the end of day update yesterday, the USDCAD has hit the 61.8% retracement at 1.3748 (high of 1.3747 this far) and the overbought RSI may suggest that we may see a bit of a pullback near these levels ahead of CPI. A strong US CPI print could put the 1.3791 in play next.
Intraday Update: If the EURUSD is going to bounce, it would probably be here at the 61.8% retracement at 1.0938 ahead of the CPI tomorrow. Intraday RSI's are divergent.
Intraday Update: The DXY hit a brief new trend highs, but still struggling at the underside of the long term triangle. A sustained break of the 102.70 level today would suggest a move towards the 200dma or the 50% retracement at 103.44 level.
Asian Session Update: Ahead of the RBNZ decision, the NZDUSD is in a very tight .6110-.6150 range. A range break is expected in the next 5 minutes following a 25 or 50bpb cut.
Possible false breakout US 10yr yields and this is a risk for risk sensitive currencies like USDJPY and USDCHF
Intraday Update: Ahead of the US jobs report the USDMXN is testing some major support (channel) as US equity markets futures trade to highs ahead of the data as well. A break of the 19.05 level today would be a bearish event for the pair.
Intraday Update: Cable has completed the bear flag and is nearing the 78% retracement on some very dovish Baily comments(discussing aggressive rate cut protentional). Intraday RSI's are oversold, so any bounce back towards 1.3150 today should find sellers now. FX:GBPUSD
Intraday Update: Crude is testing some key resistance which is previous support from June. A break higher would put the descending trend line at $74.20 in play.
Intraday Update: After breaking channel support yesterday the GBPUSD is now developing a bear flag pattern.
Intraday Update: The USDMXN is nearing the 19.74 key resistance ahead of the new Mexican government inauguration today, and a break higher would put the 20.1500 resistance is play once again.
Intraday Update: Cable has broken the ascending channel, now any move to the 1.3350 should find resistance. Support is now at 1.3250.
Intraday Update: The cable has stalled ahead of the 161% extension, but supported at the channel at 1.3360. A break below lows today may set the stage for a bigger pullback. Above the 1.3435 level would target 1.3500.
Intraday Update: The same think happened with a lot of the JPY pairs overnight after Ishiba looks to be the next Japanese PM and is more in line of the BOJ's thinking (continue to tighten mon pol) and we have seen a lot of false breakouts like the GBPJPY which hit the 127% extension to 196.22 and reversed. Now we'd expect sellers back at the 193.70 level on any...
Intraday Update: The USDMXN is breaking higher intraday and is nearing the 61.8% retracement level of the last move lower. Also keep in mind this is a bullish channel and on Oct 1 the new Government will be inaugurated which may have some MXN bulls concerned.
There are a lot of opposing forces with the USD in the coming sessions with month end flows, corporate month end flows and economic data. The EURUSD is also approaching very critical resistance near the 1.1250 level which is a trend line from 2008!