Bullish rates reversal signals US dollar downside riskIf you want clues on directional risks for the US dollar, there are worse places to look than US 2-year Treasury note futures, shown in the left-hand pane of the chart. As one of the most liquid futures contracts globally, the price signals it provides can be very informative for broader markets, es
Very close to Yield Curve Inversion, AGAINAfter #InterestRates were cut people were expecting a furious wave of buying, this has not come into fruition.
Recent events:
2Yr Yield rallied substantially.
10Yr #Yield bottomed when we called it, has not run as much as it's shorter term counterpart.
We're close to inversion again!
Colored area
2yr Yields Bounce in Downtrend 2year Yield hovering right around the declining 50d after bouncing from the 3.50% level amidst a major momentum divergence. Giving the broader technical picture, would still lean towards this being a countertrend bounce within the structural downtrend. Could this be a set up to buy back into Bonds?
US02Y/US10Y Uninversion & RecessionsThe dynamics of the US Treasury yield curve, particularly the spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields (US02Y/US10Y), have long been studied as potential indicators of economic health. One phenomenon that garners significant attention is the inversion and subsequent uninversion of this yield cur
correlation between the yield curve and the unemployment rate correlation between the yield curve and the unemployment rate
correlation between the yield curve and the unemployment rate correlation between the yield curve and the unemployment rate
Long Term - US 2y with SPYThis 2 year plan is explained below.
Chart = US 2 year on the top // SPY on the bottom
To understand my charting and thought process, if you wish to, it’s best to start with the macro idea here. I’m tracking the US2 year yield. The peaks in ’89, ’00, ’06, ’18 and ’23 have created overturned cycles
US bond market is yelling Crash coming!US02y/US10y suggesting a change on the trend pretty soon. Last two times MACD was this close to visit the 0 line It took about 120 days to start the crash in 2007 and less than 30 days in 2020. It is just a matter of time folks. Pain is close
What if bonds are kinda important?Lets draw few parallel lines. Looks like cross of green supports shows start of the party and crossing red resistances means music isn't playing anymore. Could be coincidence. Looks like green support is coming. If we pierce it could be bullish. Unfortunately this time is different because of invers
Bond markets pricing in a possible recessionary scenarioSpread between US 2 year yield and Fed Funds Rate is one of the key indidcators to watch out for the state of the economy. Fed Funds Rate is an overnight rate. Historically, before any recessionary scenarios the spread was seen moving to negative territory, during Middle East Crisis in 1989/1990,
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A graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities.
Frequently Asked Questions
The current yield rate is 3.954% — it's increased by 0.68% over the past week.
The current yield of United States 2 Year Government Bonds is 3.954%, whereas at the moment of issuance it was 7.193%, which means −45.03% change. Over the week the yield has increased by 0.68%, the month performance has showed a 9.44% increase, and it has fallen by −22.09% over the year.
Maturity date is when a debt comes due and all principal and/or interest must be repaid to creditors. For example, the United States 2 Year Government Bonds maturity date is Sep 30, 2026.
You can buy United States 2 Year Government Bonds through brokers — choose the one that suits your needs and go ahead. You can also purchase bonds directly from the issuing organization. Closely track the price dynamics and market news before making any decision.
A bond is a debt security issued by a corporation or a government. By buying bonds, investors loan the issuer money in return for an interest rate. By issuing bonds, the state receives funds that can then be injected into the economy, and corporations raise funds for new research or other operational activities. The alphanumeric code of government bonds represents the abbreviated name of the issuing state, as well as its time to maturity. For example, United States 2 Year Government Bonds is the US government bonds with the maturity of 2 years.
Bonds can be of various maturities, e.g. short-term (less than three years), medium-term (four to 10 years), or long-term ones (more than 10 years). So United States 2 Year Government Bonds are short-term bonds — they have the maturity of 2 years.